Analysis Of The Impact Of Climatic Parameters On Agriculture In Algeria: Application Of The Ardl Model With Error Correction Mechanism.
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Date
2021-12-01
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جامعة الوادي - University of Eloued
Abstract
The purpose of this study is to analyze the impact of climatic factors on the evolution of
agricultural added value in Algeria during the period from 1999 to 2020. The study is based
on an ARDL (Autoregressive distributed lag) model where the agricultural value added is the
endogenous variable and temperature and precipitation are exogenous variables of the model.
This study is developed by respecting the different stages of econometric analysis, we studied
the stationarity of the variables, determined the optimal number of lags, estimated an ARDL
model, tested cointegration, estimated the long-term relationship, studied the robustness of
the model through the different tests of the residuals and finally estimated an ECM model.
We were able to deduce that the temperature influences the agricultural added value
positively, while the precipitation affects it negatively.
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مقال
Keywords
Agricultural added value ; Temperature ; Precipitation ; ARDL
Citation
Guessas ، Ghaniya. Boumoula ، Samir. Analysis Of The Impact Of Climatic Parameters On Agriculture In Algeria: Application Of The Ardl Model With Error Correction Mechanism. مجلة الاقتصاد والتنمية المستدامة. مج 04. العدد 03. 2021/12/01. جامعة الوادي[اكتب تاريخ الاطلاع] متاح على الرابط [انسخ رابط التحميل ]