دراسة العلاقة الديناميكية والسببية بين أسعار البترول والانفاق العام بالجزائر للفترة (1980-2019)

Abstract

The study aims to describe, analyze and measure the impact of oil price fluctuations on public spending in Algeria during the period (1980-2019), through the application of the Vector Models VAR, and the study found an positive relationship between the two variables, indicating that the rise in oil prices contributes to raising Public spending, and the test of causality for Grager indicated that there is a one-way causality that moves from oil prices towards Public spending, as the response of countries and the contrast showed the strong impact of oil prices on Public spending through increasing government revenues, and thus increasing public spending and the investment