الاقليمية الجديدة بين خلق التجارة وتحويل التنمية

Abstract

This study attempts to answer the following question: What is the extent of the new regionalism in trade creation and conversion embodied development within the two formats Free Trade Area of North America "NAFTA" and the Euro-Mediterranean contribution? It has been chosen Mexico, Tunisia and Algeria as a sample for this study, and what we have used in our measurement of the impact net to create a trade on gravity models which are used to interpret international trade flows. For instance, the phenomena of trade creation and trade diversion. We have relied in determining the net effect on the imports variable. The indicators net impact assessment of trade creation are represented in: trade creation, trade diversion, distance For economic, but for indicators of economic development, it has been selected tested indicators of: GDP growth, domestic investment, high export technology index, the Human Development Index. The set of explanatory and complementary indicators has been used such as: The growth in government spending, household consumption, gross domestic product (GDP). We have used the methods of fully modified ordinary least squares (FMOLS) and autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) to estimate the study's related models. Keywords: new regionalism, development integration, trade creation, trade diversion, creation of development, the transformation of development, gravity model.