JBFE_Vol 09 N 01

Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://dspace.univ-eloued.dz/handle/123456789/32657

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Browsing JBFE_Vol 09 N 01 by Subject "ARDL"

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    تحليل تجريبي لأثر التجارة الدولية على التنمية المستدامة في الجزائر للفترة (1990 -2022)
    (جامعة الوادي University Of Eloued, 2024-05-01) لخضاري صالح; كورتل فريد
    This study aims to measure and analyse the effect of international trade on sustainable development in Algeria during the period (1990-2022), has been using Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model (ARDL). In addition to that, this study arrives to a long-term balanced relationship between thestudy variables, as the positive relationship and significant at the level of 1%between the gross capital formation (GFCF), the financial development index (FD) and the sustainable development index (GDP_PCAP), while the relationship was negative and significant at the level of 5%with foreign direct investment (FDI), per capita energy consumption (EC_PCAP) and the sustainable development index (GDP_PCAP). While the trade openness index(TO) was not statistically significant.And as expected, the error correction factor was negative and significant, which indicates that the estimated model includes a mechanism for returning to balance again.
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    نمذجة قياسة لأثر تقلبات سعر النفط على النفقات العامة في الجزائر خلال الفترة 1990-2020
    (جامعة الوادي University Of Eloued, 2024-05-02) توبة دليلة
    This study aimed to analyze and measure the impact of oil price fluctuations on public expenditures in Algeria for the period (1990-2020). To achieve this goal, we dealt in its part with general concepts about the price of oil and public expenditures, and then we addressed the analysis of the development of public expenditures in light of price fluctuations. Oil during the period under study. As for the standard aspect, we used the (ARDL) model to estimate the effect of the price of oil on public expenditures in Algeria. The results obtained showed that the price of oil has a positive impact on public expenditures, as a 1% increase in the price of oil leads to an increase in public expenditures by 0.93%. The study also presented a set of recommendations, the most important of which is that Algeria must work to find alternative sources of fuel revenues, Searching for ways to diversify economically.