Selection of parameters to predict dew point temperature in arid lands using Grey Theory: a case study of Iran

Abstract

AbstractDew point is the temperature at which water vapor in the air condenses into liquid with the same rate it evaporates. Dew point study is important in arid lands with low rainfall, also in other regions with various hydrological and climatological conditions. In this study, the Grey theory is applied for the first time to propose a framework approach to identify the important parameters affecting the prediction of dew point temperature. The ability of Grey theory to estimate and rank the parameters of a problem with missing data and uncertain conditions means that it has a good potential for mentioned application. For this research, 8 parameters are selected using literature review including: global solar radiation on a horizontal surface (H), water vapor pressure (VP), atmospheric pressure (P), sunshine duration (n), minimum air temperature (Tmin), maximum air temperature (Tmax), average air temperature (Tavg), and Relative Humidity (RH). The study is conducted for the city of Abadeh in Iran by using the data pertaining to a 10 year period between 2005 and 2015. The findings show that RH, Tavg, P, Tmax, Tmin, H, n and Vp with the grey possibility degrees of, respectively, 0.534, 0.551, 0.608, 0.622, 0.635, 0.695, 0.697 and 0.712, are the most important and effective parameters in prediction of dew point temperature. The proposed method also prioritizes the studied parameters in the order of their effectiveness on predicted dew point temperature