تأثير تقلبات أسعار النفط على مؤشرات الميزانية العامة-دراسة قياسية لحالة الجزائر باستخدام نماذج Ardl

Abstract

The objective of this standard study is to analyze the dynamic effects of oil price fluctuations on the general budget indicators in Algeria in the short and long term, and in order to achieve this, the study applied ARDL autocorrelation models to track the impact of oil price fluctuations on both revenues, public expenditures and the budget balance. the public. One of the most important results that the study highlights is that the financial policy in Algeria is directly affected in the short and long term by the circumstantial fluctuations of oil prices. Public expenditures have a direct impact on oil prices, while the balance of the public budget is negatively affected by oil prices, and public revenues are not affected by oil prices in the long run.