نمذجة قياسية للعلاقة السببية بين الإنفاق العام على قطاع الصحة والنمو الاقتصادي في ظل قانون فاجنر(دراسة حالة الجزائر خلال الفترة 1995-2013).

Abstract

The objective of the current study is to analyze the causality relationship between the government spending on the health Sector and economic growth in Algeria during (1995-2013) in the short and long term, and to test the economics’ theories that explain this relation. So in Wagner’s law there’s the existence of causal relationship in one direction only from the gross domestic product (GDP) to the increase of public spending generally and the government health care spending particularly, while in the Keynes’s theories is the opposite. This study concentrated on: Co-integration, Granger causality and the Error Correction Model, and it found that there’s a relationship causal from the gross domestic product (GDP) to the public spending on the health, while it’s not observed any causality from the government health care spending to the economic growth in the short and long term, and this’s correspondent with content Wagner’s law.