Browsing by Author "Touitou, Mohammed"

Now showing 1 - 3 of 3

(the Asymmetric Impact Of Economic Growth On Unemployment In Algeria- Testing The Okun's Law (empirical Study For The Period 1980-2018
(جامعة الوادي - University of Eloued, 2020-09-15) Manna, Lamdjed; Rimi, Riadh; Touitou, Mohammed
The objective of this paper is to test the asymmetric effect between the change in unemployment rates (as a dependent variable) and the real economic growth (as an independent variable) according to the okun's law of the Algerian economy in 1980-2018 basing nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL). empirical results confirmed the absence of the equilibrium relationship - the long-term relationship - which interprets the absence of okun's law The asymmetry test also shows symmetry in the long-term relationship, but empirical results shows that there is asymmetry in the short-term relationship. تهدف هذه الورقة البحثية إلى اختبار الأثر اللامتماثل بين التغير في معدلات البطالة والنمو الاقتصادي حسب قانون أوكون (okun) للاقتصاد الجزائري ضمن الفترة 1980-2018 بالاعتماد على منهجية الانحدار الذاتي ذو الابطاءات الموزعة زمنيا اللاخطي(NARDL)، بحيث أكدت النتائج التجريبية غياب العلاقة التوازنية – العلاقة طويلة الأجل- مما يترجم غياب قانون أوكون في المدى الطويل، كما أن اختبار عدم التماثل يوضح وجود تماثل(symmetric) في العلاقة طويلة الأجل لكن العلاقة قصيرة الأجل تظهر النتائج التجريبية عدم وجود تماثل (Asymmetric).
Climate Change And Its Effects On The Agriculture And Water Resources
(جامعة الوادي - University of Eloued, 2021-06-30) Touitou, Mohammed
The impact of climate change on agriculture is growing in all regions of the world. The main aim of this paper is provides an overview of the effects of climate change on agriculture, which drawn from a review of recent scientific literature on climate change, with considers expected effects on water resources and explores the challenges and opportunities for adaptation. The research results concludes that risk assessment is a key factor in reducing agriculture vulnerability to climate change. Successful adaptation depends primarily Climate risk management, understanding their impacts will allow the design and implementation of effective adaptation measures.
Estimating A Cost Effective Of Climate Change Adaptation Policy In Algeria: A Dcge Model Analysis
(جامعة الوادي - University of Eloued, 2022-06-30) Boudeghdegh, Ahmed; Younsi, Salah; Touitou, Mohammed
The main objective of this study is to find the impacts of the climate change adaptation policy and its associated costs on macro-economic variables such as real gross domestic product, government expenditure, exports, net consumption and sectoral output. This study considered temperature change as an exogenous shock and simulated the effects of adaptation policies over 100 years period based on the 2009 base year Social Accounting Matrix for the Algerian economy. We examined the policy effectiveness by simulating scenarios with and without adaptation options. We investigated the findings of this study using our CGE model called Algerian Integrated Climate and Economy and interpreted to establish whether the adaptation policy is effective in terms of reducing the climate change monetary impact. Our findings indicate that the optimum level of adaptation varies over time with continued economic growth and the costs of adaptation tend to increase as well. Findings show that over the hundred-year projection period, the optimum level of adaptation tends to be within the range of 11 to 29 percent of gross damages. The associated costs of adaptation varies from 27 million to 1,235 million DZD. This indicates that the optimal adaptation policy is effective for Algeria.